Red Deer Home Sales Update: Is the Market Shifting in 2026?

With only two months of data for 2026, it’s still too early to determine the market’s direction. That said, there may be some early signals. With January showing an increase in sales and February showing a decline, the trend remains unclear.

Detached Homes: Strong Start, Softer February

Looking at detached homes, January sales were up about 10% year over year, indicating strong demand to start the year. However, February shifted the other way, with sales down roughly 17% compared to last year. This suggests some month-to-month variability rather than a clear trend.

The chart below will show Red Deer detached home sales in 2026 and the 7 years prior. This allows readers to compare home sales each year and each month. *year to date.

Detached homes	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	diff	2026	diff
Jan	50	51	71	81	51	52	62	⬆︎ 19%	68	⬆︎ 10%
Feb	69	59	101	113	59	66	81	⬆︎ 23%	67	⬇︎ 17%
Mar	72	79	126	132	88	87	94	⬆︎ 8%
Apr	96	37	169	166	126	130	100	⬇︎ 23%
May	93	59	148	164	118	144	110	⬇︎ 24%
Jun	90	97	141	121	129	118	105	⬇︎ 12%
July	99	113	108	118	117	115	124	⬆︎ 8%
Aug	76	98	117	104	113	117	103	⬇︎ 12%
Sept	79	93	119	83	105	83	89	⬆︎ 7%
Oct	71	88	98	96	84	80	114	⬆︎ 43%
Nov	66	76	86	75	72	66	78	⬆︎ 18%
Dec	49	65	88	44	63	53	47	⬇︎ 11%
For the year	910	915	1372	1298	1124	1111	1107	⬆︎ 11%

Attached Homes: Slower Start to the Year

In the attached segment, the pattern is slightly weaker. For example, sales were down about 15% in January and fell further in February, down approximately 20% year over year. As a result, this may point to softer demand or limited inventory.

Overall Market: Too Early to Call a Trend

Overall, detached homes are showing more resilience, while attached homes have started the year slower. That said, with limited data, it’s too early to draw firm conclusions. The next few months will be key, as they will show whether this is a normal fluctuation or a broader trend.

The chart below displays the attached home sales in Red Deer for this year and six years back. The column on the right indicates whether sales have increased or decreased, along with the percentage change compared to the same month from the previous year. *year to date

Attached homes	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	diff	2026	diff
Jan	25	18	29	43	41	38	33	⬇︎ 13%	28	⬇︎ 15%
Feb	18	20	33	59	35	45	49	⬆︎ 8.9%	39	⬇︎ 20%
Mar	28	22	60	71	59	69	55	⬇︎ 20%
Apr	42	24	55	73	55	75	76	⬆︎ 5.6%
May	28	16	47	79	100	82	75	⬇︎ 8.5%
Jun	35	24	65	76	75	76	67	⬇︎ 12%
July	50	48	45	70	77	62	89	⬆︎ 44%
Aug	41	35	41	50	76	79	65	⬇︎ 18%
Sept	39	47	42	44	60	55	54	⬇︎ 2%
Oct	30	28	35	36	44	54	49	⬇︎ 9%
Nov	25	42	37	41	49	44	49	⬆︎ 11%
Dec	22	23	41	20	34	30	25	⬇︎ 17%
For the year	383	307	530	662	710	706	686	⬇︎ 2.8%

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Hosted by Blake King Realtor® and Big Earth Realty. Blake King continually monitors the Red Deer and Central Alberta real estate market to track changes and watch trends. With this information, he can help you make the most informed decisions when buying or selling your home. If you want to learn more about the local market and how it impacts your next real estate transaction in Red Deer, call or email him anytime at (403) 350-7672